Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.963330e-01 0.234116 0.274643 0.321074 0.372525 0.427535 0.490535
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.381420e-01 0.186841 0.243258 0.312339 0.393557 0.484987 0.594658
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.028829e-01 0.157613 0.225828 0.314443 0.423938 0.552393 0.712051
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.396861e-02 0.129766 0.204823 0.308140 0.441843 0.604577 0.813131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.065563e-02 0.103731 0.181308 0.294591 0.447916 0.641051 0.895518
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.878452e-02 0.091453 0.174198 0.301001 0.478746 0.708526 1.017514
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.702205e-02 0.075807 0.159207 0.293991 0.490056 0.750356 1.107623
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.200074e-02 0.070816 0.159738 0.308986 0.531681 0.832644 1.251309
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.594799e-02 0.061534 0.151440 0.309278 0.551776 0.886134 1.358228
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.146847e-02 0.053818 0.144352 0.310297 0.572258 0.940073 1.466354
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.795471e-03 0.049412 0.142505 0.319286 0.604447 1.010563 1.597630
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.844458e-03 0.046058 0.142043 0.330237 0.639642 1.085740 1.736300
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.152199e-03 0.042641 0.141118 0.340657 0.675041 1.163063 1.880919
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.125710e-03 0.036075 0.132084 0.335728 0.685927 1.205373 1.978149
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.050084e-03 0.032340 0.128646 0.340501 0.712168 1.270280 2.107668
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.067304e-03 0.027176 0.120476 0.335396 0.721813 1.310764 2.203449
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.826503e-04 0.021354 0.108789 0.321961 0.716583 1.328544 2.267016
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.920003e-04 0.019462 0.107560 0.329333 0.746483 1.399440 2.407036
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.903247e-05 0.015811 0.099816 0.322223 0.750941 1.431521 2.491586
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.774703e-05 0.015493 0.102837 0.338381 0.796409 1.527141 2.669042
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.757695e-07 0.013354 0.098899 0.338822 0.813966 1.579840 2.784726
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011546 0.095478 0.339985 0.832649 1.634418 2.903649
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.010747 0.095743 0.349592 0.866785 1.713626 3.059491